← Luna Cards Presents: Grand Archive Abyssal Heaven Regionals
Fire ExiaTier 2
at Luna Cards Presents: Grand Archive Abyssal Heaven Regionals
decks
1
(2.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.3%
avg ELO +0.2 per match
expected value
47.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1207
· median 1207
· range 1207–1207
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1055
Q1 1200
Q3 1402
1689
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.4 |
| Water Genbu | 8.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.1 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.4 |
| Fire Umbra Tristan | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Wind Vanitas | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
